[GWSG] <2C; people moving; moving where?; rich people moving; 3 EAIS glaciers; fast and faster Arctic methane

[Tilley, Al]

1. A new study matching models and climate measurements confirms estimates that we need vigorous emissions control measures to avoid losing our chance to hold warming under 2C. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/sep/24/new-study-reconciles-a-dispute-about-how-fast-global-warming-will-happen
[https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/eb3a96e3a4c82100d273e40c7e7a9bfa42a541be/0_368_4500_2700/master/4500.jpg?width=1200&height=630&quality=85&auto=format&usm=12&fit=crop&crop=faces%2Centropy&bm=normal&ba=bottom%2Cleft&blend64=aHR0cHM6Ly9hc3NldHMuZ3VpbS5jby51ay9pbWFnZXMvb3ZlcmxheXMvZDM1ODZhNWVmNTc4MTc1NmQyMWEzYjYzNWU1MTcxNDEvdGctZGVmYXVsdC5wbmc&s=c0828029fcee1d81b59c454e506cda2f]<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/sep/24/new-study-reconciles-a-dispute-about-how-fast-global-warming-will-happen>

New study reconciles a dispute about how fast global ...<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/sep/24/new-study-reconciles-a-dispute-about-how-fast-global-warming-will-happen>
www.theguardian.com
Dana Nuccitelli: Unfortunately, mainstream climate scientists are still right, and we’re running out of time to avoid dangerous global warming



2. By the end of the century climate change is expected to displace 13 million people in the US. Worldwide, as many as 300 million climate refugees are expected by midcentury. We ought to do some planning. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/americas-era-of-climate-mass-migration-is-here
[https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/fab3889c789384e6d8c1f608400a6fcf60ba1cf4/1_0_3110_1867/master/3110.png?width=1200&height=630&quality=85&auto=format&usm=12&fit=crop&crop=faces%2Centropy&bm=normal&ba=bottom%2Cleft&blend64=aHR0cHM6Ly9hc3NldHMuZ3VpbS5jby51ay9pbWFnZXMvb3ZlcmxheXMvZDM1ODZhNWVmNTc4MTc1NmQyMWEzYjYzNWU1MTcxNDEvdGctZGVmYXVsdC5wbmc&s=9ffed8232a25b13e47b78451d1e324d5]<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/americas-era-of-climate-mass-migration-is-here>

'We're moving to higher ground': America's era of climate ...<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/americas-era-of-climate-mass-migration-is-here>
www.theguardian.com
After her house flooded for the third year in a row, Elizabeth Boineau was ready to flee. She packed her possessions into dozens of boxes, tried not to think of the mold and mildew-covered ...


The figures seem to be based on an expectation of six feet of sea level rise by 2100. James Hansen and others estimate that destabilized polar ice sheets will lead us to that level sooner.

3. Where in the US should displaced people settle? One recommendation is to look above the 42nd parallel, close to water but not to likely flooding. How about Cincinnati? Or Duluth? Watch out for forest fires. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/climate-change-where-to-move-us-avoid-floods-hurricanes
[https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/d9f8d4b46b806af0f8332b9bd9384a1ed9c29b9c/0_67_4256_2554/master/4256.jpg?width=1200&height=630&quality=85&auto=format&usm=12&fit=crop&crop=faces%2Centropy&bm=normal&ba=bottom%2Cleft&blend64=aHR0cHM6Ly9hc3NldHMuZ3VpbS5jby51ay9pbWFnZXMvb3ZlcmxheXMvZDM1ODZhNWVmNTc4MTc1NmQyMWEzYjYzNWU1MTcxNDEvdGctZGVmYXVsdC5wbmc&s=e8a93f277b9e0ca5a416a02857286c4b]<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/climate-change-where-to-move-us-avoid-floods-hurricanes>

Where should you move to save yourself from climate change ...<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/24/climate-change-where-to-move-us-avoid-floods-hurricanes>
www.theguardian.com
Siuslaw national forest, Oregon – the Pacific north-west may be an option for those wanting to flee from climate change’s impact. Photograph: aimintang/Getty Images/iStockphoto Climate change ...



4. The wealthy are most able to relocate to cooler and more secure areas, where they drive up home prices and rental fees, stressing the community resources in their new city. “The people marginalized already in society will bear the brunt of this.” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/25/climate-gentrification-phoenix-flagstaff-miami-rich-poor
[https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/4080b14fca387ead5789610013833cb9cc4dd69b/0_111_4183_2510/master/4183.jpg?width=1200&height=630&quality=85&auto=format&usm=12&fit=crop&crop=faces%2Centropy&bm=normal&ba=bottom%2Cleft&blend64=aHR0cHM6Ly9hc3NldHMuZ3VpbS5jby51ay9pbWFnZXMvb3ZlcmxheXMvZDM1ODZhNWVmNTc4MTc1NmQyMWEzYjYzNWU1MTcxNDEvdGctZGVmYXVsdC5wbmc&s=b3fe5838abe8558f0e1da700e0a2a852]<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/25/climate-gentrification-phoenix-flagstaff-miami-rich-poor>

Climate gentrification: the rich can afford to move – what ...<https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2018/sep/25/climate-gentrification-phoenix-flagstaff-miami-rich-poor>
www.theguardian.com
Rick Richo carries water to his home from a nearby water filling station during the midday heat in Phoenix, Arizona. Photograph: Joshua Taff for the Guardian Only half-jokingly, some residents of ...



5. When the earth was about a degree warmer than it is now, 125,000 years ago, three glaciers in the East Antarctic appear to have melted. They hold about ten feet of sea level rise and are grounded below sea level. https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/09/20/antarctica-warming-could-fuel-disastrous-sea-level-rise-study-finds/?utm_term=.aa4597487e02
[https://www.washingtonpost.com/resizer/XUkK_Jd9bRkB_z4DV9KYGYRe-ms=/1484x0/arc-anglerfish-washpost-prod-washpost.s3.amazonaws.com/public/LMW5XPMN5ZF6NPOHDRDIZZNA5A.png]<https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/09/20/antarctica-warming-could-fuel-disastrous-sea-level-rise-study-finds/?utm_term=.aa4597487e02>

At this rate, Earth risks sea level rise of 20 to 30 feet ...<https://www.washingtonpost.com/energy-environment/2018/09/20/antarctica-warming-could-fuel-disastrous-sea-level-rise-study-finds/?utm_term=.aa4597487e02>
www.washingtonpost.com
New research finds that a vast area of Antarctica retreated when Earth's temperatures weren't much warmer than they are now.



6. Thermokarst lakes in the Arctic are releasing more methane than expected because they are thawing progressive layers of permafrost in their beds in a process called abrupt thawing. A second type of thermokarst lake, described in the Washington Post article, adds the release of old reservoirs of methane which can be many times as large as from abrupt thawing alone. https://climatecrocks.com/2018/09/25/nasa-new-pathway-for-methane-emissions-from-arctic-lakes/
[https://climatecrock.files.wordpress.com/2018/09/bubblelake.jpg]<https://climatecrocks.com/2018/09/25/nasa-new-pathway-for-methane-emissions-from-arctic-lakes/>

NASA: New Pathway for Methane Emissions from Arctic Lakes?<https://climatecrocks.com/2018/09/25/nasa-new-pathway-for-methane-emissions-from-arctic-lakes/>
climatecrocks.com
Newsweek: Lakes across Alaska and Siberia have started to bubble with methane, and the release of this highly potent greenhouse gas has scientists worried. Last month NASA released footage showing …



-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.unf.edu/pipermail/gwsg/attachments/20180925/18f49283/attachment-0001.html>