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<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><font size="3"><font face="Calibri">1.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>An article in Nature estimates sea level rises to 2300, based partly on historical data.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>Limiting warming to 1.5° C would strongly limit the rise.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>Doubling that would result in about 3.5 meters of rise.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span></font></font><a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/06/120624134955.htm"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/06/120624134955.htm</font></a><font size="3"><font face="Calibri"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>Sea level rise is accelerating 3-4 times faster along the east coast of the US from Boston to North Carolina than it is globally.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span></font></font><a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/jun/24/us-east-coast-sea-level-rise"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2012/jun/24/us-east-coast-sea-level-rise</font></a><font size="3"><font face="Calibri"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>The US West Coast is also in for a larger than average rise, due in part to subsidence.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span></font></font><a href="http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1112644421/california-oregon-washington-sea-levels-expected-to-rise/"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.redorbit.com/news/science/1112644421/california-oregon-washington-sea-levels-expected-to-rise/</font></a></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt; tab-stops: 51.0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1"><font size="3" face="Calibri">
</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><font size="3"><font face="Calibri">2.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>A report from Margo Moehring:<span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span><span style="COLOR: black">Hi Allen. As you know, I attended the Sea Level Rise Summit in Boca Raton last week. In addition to learning a lot about the current state of scientific
thinking on the subject, the summit provided an overview of what is happening in South Florida, where there seems to be much acceptance of the need for adaptation. The summit was focused on adaptation, and there was not much discussion on mitigation. The Miami
Herald covered the summit: </span></font></font><a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/06/22/2864586/rising-seas-mean-shrinking-south.html" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/06/22/2864586/rising-seas-mean-shrinking-south.html</font></a></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">Here are some of my observations from the summit:</font></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">1.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">An insurance industry representative reminded the group that the insurance industry is avidly watching the science, and is also watching community response. They view lack of response as a risk
factor that distinguishes between communities. </font></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">2.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">In the absence of certainly regarding SLR, the US Army Corps of Engineers currently requires that 3 possible SLR scenarios be considered on any coastal project.
</font></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">3.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">There is a certain tension between those that think that a complete re-think of how people are fed and housed and how cities work is in order, as opposed to design solutions based on current practice.
</font></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">4.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">A university representative said that universities are not set up to collaborate with each other, with outside scientists and other partners in the way they will need to, in order to address SLR.
</font></span></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">5.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><font size="3"><font face="Calibri"><span style="COLOR: black">I asked if there was a State of Florida agency representative who would discuss
</span><span style="COLOR: #1f497d">the science of </span><span style="COLOR: black">SLR with a local community if asked. The reply was that the universities had that role.
</span></font></font></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">6.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">South Florida counties have signed a climate compact and have released a draft of a regional climate action plan, and counties like Broward are working on changes to their Comp Plan. Theirs is
a regional model to be studied. They got started because elected officials instructed staff to work together. More at this link:
</font></span><a href="http://www.southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.southeastfloridaclimatecompact.org/</font></a></p>
<p style="TEXT-INDENT: -0.25in; MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt 0.5in" class="MsoListParagraph">
<span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">7.</font></span><span style="FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 7pt">
</span><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">I observed not only the frustration one would expect among summit participants who have been talking about SLR for years and feel like there is more talk than action going on, but also a sense
that the pessimism surrounding SLR is a waste of energy. This group was anxious to see more adaptation so that they could point to successes and learn from experience.</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">The presentations from the summit will be posted on the summit website
</font></span><a href="http://www.ces.fau.edu/SLR2012" target="_blank"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.ces.fau.edu/SLR2012</font></a><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri"> in a week or so.
</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">Best,</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3" face="Calibri">Margo</font></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="FONT-FAMILY: Amienne; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 18pt">Margo Moehring</span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3"><font face="Calibri">Director of Policy, Northeast Florida Regional Council
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<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><o:p><font size="3" face="Calibri"> </font></o:p></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3"><font face="Calibri">3.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>When forests burn in the Southern Rockies, they are replaced by savannah and shrub (which is the future for North Florida).<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>“Seeking to preserve existing systems is futile.”<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span></font></font><a href="http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/goodbye-to-mountain-forests/?ref=earth"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://green.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/25/goodbye-to-mountain-forests/?ref=earth</font></a><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><o:p><font size="3" face="Calibri"> </font></o:p></span></p>
<p style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt" class="MsoNormal"><span style="COLOR: black"><font size="3"><font face="Calibri">4.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>Guyana is experimenting with rice cultivation in a savannah.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes">
</span>Peanuts and beans also work.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </span></font></font><a href="http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/guyana-tries-out-rice-cultivation-on-savannah"><font color="#0000ff" size="3" face="Calibri">http://www.trust.org/alertnet/news/guyana-tries-out-rice-cultivation-on-savannah</font></a><span style="mso-spacerun: yes"><font size="3" face="Calibri">
</font></span></span></p>
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