[GWSG] Water supply; urban targets; US EV sales 7%; peak ICE; local EV juice; 2037-70 tales; it's draw down time; NASA on SLR

Tilley, Al atilley at unf.edu
Sat Mar 18 13:37:06 EDT 2023


1. The global demand for fresh water is projected to exceed the supply by 40% as of 2030. The study recommends that water be treated as a common resource among nations, and that we adopt stringent measures to limit water waste. Demand already exceeds supply among many nations in North Africa and the Arabian peninsula. A UN water Summit will begin in New York on March 22.   https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/mar/17/global-fresh-water-demand-outstrip-supply-by-2030

2. Around 240 cities have set zero emissions targets for 2050, and 60 of those targets are more stringent than their national targets. The cities are among the over 1,000 which have joined the Cities Race to Zero initiative, a UN program which supports efforts to limit emissions. Most nations have set zero emissions targets for 2050.  https://capitalmonitor.ai/sdgs/sdg-11-sustainable-cities-and-communities/green-cities-race-net-zero/?utm_source=Anthropocene&utm_campaign=ebb95c43ad-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_10_17_02_17_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_ececcea89a-ebb95c43ad-294268545

3. Fully electric vehicles accounted for 7% of US auto sales last December. That is about as many as are being manufactured. The waiting period for the Bolt I have on order is 4-5 months (and GM will cease production of them Nov. 7, replacing the Bolt EUV with the Equinox). 8% has been considered the tipping point at which sales go on a J curve. Manufacturers are stepping up production. Meanwhile, oil prices are tanking.  https://climatecrocks.com/2023/03/16/ev-sales-boom-as-oil-prices-tank/

4. Global sales of internal-combustion vehicles have declined almost 20% since peaking in 2017. Peak oil demand will lag sales but, as the fleet ages, is expected to arrive in 2027, ahead of previous projections.  https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1138993_combustion-vehicle-sales-peaked-in-2017-peak-oil-due-in-2027?utm_source=GCR+-+Daily+Headlines&utm_campaign=e27db23369-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2023_03_17_04_05&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_7e18d5fd93-e27db23369-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D

5. 7 Eleven intends to build the largest EV charging network in the US, joining Taco Bell, Pilot, Flying J, and Starbucks in installing charging stations. The Inflation Reduction Act encourages stations located in lower income areas, where fewer people are likely to have home charging facilities.  https://www.greencarreports.com/news/1139070_7-eleven-wants-its-ev-charging-network-to-be-among-the-largest?utm_source=GCR+-+Daily+Headlines&utm_campaign=e27db23369-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2023_03_17_04_05&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_7e18d5fd93-e27db23369-%5BLIST_EMAIL_ID%5D

6. We seem to have trouble imagining the rest of the century. Apple TV+ gives a boost with Extrapolations, eight episodes which follow partly interconnected characters from 2037-2070. The first episode was engaging if persistently tense. Bill McKibben and Elizabeth Kolbert are among the show’s advisors. https://www.thewrap.com/extrapolations-scott-z-burns-climate-apple-tv/

7. If we wait until the end of the century to undertake major carbon drawdown efforts, we will probably doom thousands of species to extinction and may endanger our own continuation, at least our civilized continuation. Stephen Mulkey argues that we should stop burning fossil fuels--and begin a major carbon removal and sequestration effort. (Don’t neglect the “profane video” link. It outlines the history of CCS.) https://www.thewrap.com/extrapolations-scott-z-burns-climate-apple-tv/

8. Using satellite data, NASA has traced global sea level rise from .2 cm in 1993 to .44 cm currently. That would be a 50% rise per decade, less than is often reported, and great news for coastal communities. (Local variations complicate the picture, as do the prospect of catastrophic failure in the polar ice sheets and of a sudden slowing of the AMOC. We still appear to have a bit more time for action than many had thought.)  https://phys.org/news/2023-03-nasa-year-satellite-track-seas.html
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